Assimilation of global satellite leaf area estimates reduces modeled global carbon uptake and energy loss by terrestrial ecosystems

Fox, A. M., Huo, X., Hoar, T. J., Dashti, H., Smith, W. K., et al. (2022). Assimilation of global satellite leaf area estimates reduces modeled global carbon uptake and energy loss by terrestrial ecosystems. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, doi:10.1029/2022JG006830

Title Assimilation of global satellite leaf area estimates reduces modeled global carbon uptake and energy loss by terrestrial ecosystems
Author(s) Andrew M. Fox, Xueli Huo, Timothy J. Hoar, Hamid Dashti, William K. Smith, Natasha MacBean, Jeffrey L. Anderson, Matthew Roby, David J. P. Moore
Abstract Carbon, water and energy exchange between the land and atmosphere controls how ecosystems either accelerate or ameliorate the effect of climate change. However, evaluating improvements to processes controlling carbon cycling, water use and energy exchange in global land surface models (LSMs) remains challenging in part because of persistent model errors in estimating leaf area. Here we evaluate the changes in global carbon, water and energy exchange brought about when a LSM prognostic estimates of leaf area are made consistent with estimates from satellites. This approach achieves two aims; first to quantify the effect of ignoring errors in leaf area index (LAI) on land-atmosphere fluxes and second, to evaluate how closely this LSM replicates fluxes with and without an LAI constraint. We implemented an ensemble Kalman filter with spatiotemporal adaptive inflation to more closely match community land model (CLM5.0) estimates of leaf area to those from the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies leaf area index (LAI3g) product. We then evaluate the model's estimates of gross primary productivity (GPP) and latent heat flux (LE) against well established global estimates of these fluxes. We find that the model is biased high by 27% relative to the LAI3g product. Moreover, the effect of bias in LAI is substantial for GPP (18%) and LE (6%) and likely to confound efforts to refine processes controlling these fluxes. This data assimilation approach serves as a method to evaluate the efficacy of refinements to flux processes until the processes controlling the dynamics of LAI are better resolved in LSMs.
Publication Title Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences
Publication Date Aug 11, 2022
Publisher's Version of Record https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022JG006830
OpenSky Citable URL https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d72f7s63
OpenSky Listing View on OpenSky
CISL Affiliations TDD, DARES

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