4th Conference on Stochastic Weather Generators

4^th Conference on Stochastic Weather Generators, SWGEN 2018

Tuesday October 2, 2018

8:00-8:25am Registration

8:25-9:30am Keynote 1

• Philippe Naveau, “Stochastic rainfall generators based on extreme value theory"

9:30-10:20am Generation of Weather Fields (Chair: Will Kleiber)

• David Gagne, “Generation of spatial weather fields with generative adversarial networks”
• Yuxiao Li, “Multi-site high-frequency stochastic precipitation generator using censored skew-symmetric distributions”

10:20-10:45am Coffee break

10:45-12:00 Interface of SWGs and Climate Models I (Chair: Steve Sain)

• Stefano Castruccio, “Not just weather! Stochastic generators to approximate climate model output”
• Joseph Guinness, “Climate data compression via conditional emulation”
• Peter Craigmile, “Locally stationary processes and their application to climate modeling”

12:00-1:00pm Lunch in the Mesa Lab cafeteria

1:00-2:40pm SWGs for End-User Studies (Chair: Julie Bessac)

• Steve Sain, “Challenges in quantifying risk from extreme weather and climate change”
• Bri-Mathias Hodge, “The WIND toolkit: A national dataset for wind integration studies”
• Boyko Dodov, “Blending a high dimensional state space model with a data assimilation technique for efficient simulation of non-stationary tropical cyclone precipitation patterns”
• Mari Tye, “Using weather regimes to improve predictions of solar power generation”

2:40-3:10pm Coffee break

3:10-4:50pm Multivariate Methods (Chair: Pierre Ailliot)

• Soutir Bandyopadhyay, “A model for large multivariate datasets”
• Valérie Monbet, “A multivariate spatio-temporal SWGEN with latent regimes
• Matthew Edwards, “Multivariate spatio-temporal stochastic generator for global climate ensembles”
• Joshua French, "A sandwich smother for spatio-temporal arrays and time series"

5:00-7:00pm Poster session in the Mesa Lab cafeteria

• Yash Amonkar, Columbia Water Center, Columbia University, Reservoir Computing approach for Nino 3.4 SST predictions

• Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, CNRS-IGE, SpaWGEN-DS: a spatial weather generator for statistical downscaling of precipitation accounting for spatio-temporal non-stationarities

• Greg Benton, Cornell University, "Estimating the daily distribution of quantitative precipitation over the US"

• Marie Boutigny, Brest University, "A stochastic rainfall generator for Brest area"

• Vincent Cailliez, SIDAM, "GenCFox, a stochastic climate generator"

• Hetal Dabhi, University of Innsbruck, Austria, "Evaluation of a stochastic weather generator for multivariate extremes in different climate zones across Europe"

• Clement Guilloteau, University of California, Irvine,  "Representation of Uncertainty and Errors in the Wavelet Domain: Application to Satellite Precipitation Products"

• Anders Hildeman, Chalmers University of Technology, "A joint spatial model of significant wave height and wave period using the SPDE approach"

• Gabriel Jouan, IRMAR, Université de Rennes 1, "Weather forecasting model calibration at medium range"

• Eric Lee, University of Notre Dame, "Predicting Dust Storms in Saudi Arabia"

• Stephen Molinari, Colorado School of Mines, "Reducing Ensemble Size Requirements for CESM-ECT"

• Nathaniel Onnen, The Ohio State University, "Modeling and prediction for bivariate geostatistical processes"

• Paul Platzer, LSCE / IMT-A / FEM, "Connecting Ocan Wave Group Focusing and Crest Velocity Gradient"

• Clare Stephens, University of New South Wales, "Using weather generation to assess hydrologic model performance under climate change"

• Wenqi Zhang, University of Colorado, "A Stochastic Approach for Downscaling Solar Irradiance Data Products"

Wednesday October 3, 2018

8:00-8:30am Registration

8:30-9:30am Keynote 2

• Upmanu Lall, "Reflections on stochastic modeling strategies for climate and weather extremes"

9:30-10:20am Modeling and Estimation of Rainfall Extremes (Chair: Will Kleiber)

• Josh Hewitt, “Improved return level estimation via a weighted likelihood latent spatial extremes model”
• Fátima Palacios Rodríguez, “On space-time extreme simulations of rainfall in Mediterranean France”

10:20-10:45am Coffee break

10:45-12:00 SWGs for Wind Applications (Chair: Peter Craigmile)

• Mikyoung Jun, “Spatio-temporal short-term wind forecast: The proactive regime-switching method”
• Amanda Lenzi, “Spatio-temporal probabilistic wind vector forecasting over Saudi Arabia”
• Zachary Mullen, “Joint temporal modeling of high-frequency wind speeds and directions via the projected normal”

12:00-1:00pm Lunch in the Mesa Lab cafeteria

1:00-2:15pm Interface of SWGs and Climate Models II (Chair: Joshua French)

• Philip Lorenz, “The empirical-statistical downscaling method EPISODES”
• Fiona Johnson, “Fit-for-purpose weather generators for engineering climate change impact assessments”
• Zoltan Toth, “Weather forecast or weather generator systems: Use each as needed”

2:15-2:45pm Coffee break

2:45-4:15pm Dynamics and Forecasting (Chair: Josh Hewitt)

• Julie Bessac, “Space-time characterization of sub-grid variability of air-sea fluxes”
• Nicolas Raillard, “Stochastic models for non-linear ocean waves”
• Isidora Jankov, “Stochastic approaches within a high resolution rapid refresh ensemble”
• Pascal Yiou, “Stochastic ensemble climate forecast with an analogue model”

5 pm Informal gathering at Under the Sun

Thursday October 4, 2018

8:00am-1:00pm Area hike.

This workshop is sponsored in part by the National Science Foundation.